Examples in Business and Everyday Life
Gender bias in the workplace is a well-documented and researched area of cognitive bias. Women often do not occupy top senior positions. For example, in 2010, only 15.2% of top positions in US Fortune-500 companies were held by women (Soares, 2010). Women tend to earn less than their male counterparts, and women’s salaries differ according to their marital status.
For example, consider these statistics reported by Güngör and Biernat (2009, p. 232):
“[In 2005] … 68.1% of married and 79.8% of single mothers in the U.S. participate in the workforce, but while non-mothers earn 90 cents to a man’s dollar, mothers earn 73 cents, and single mothers earn about 60 cents.”
The social desirability bias is a concern for anyone who uses self-report data. Companies that run internal surveys investigating topics that may cast an employee in a poor light must be aware of how the social desirability bias will affect the validity of their data.
Knowing that people adjust their answers to appear more socially desirable, investigators (such as researchers and clinicians) can try to reframe their questions to be less direct, use formal tests, or anonymize responses.
Another sphere of our lives where biases can have devastating effects is in personal finance. According to Hershey, Jacobs-Lawson, and Austin (2012), there are at least 40 cognitive biases that negatively affect our ability to make sound financial decisions, thus hindering our ability to plan for retirement properly. Some of these biases include:
- Halo effect (just because that real estate agent was nice doesn’t mean it’s a good deal)
- Optimistic overconfidence (“I’ll be fine in the future, so I don’t need to save that much now.”)
- Confirmation bias (looking for information to confirm or validate unwise financial decisions)
Role of Biases in Decision Making
Below you might find revealing insight into how biases affect our decision making.
The Monty Hall problem
This puzzle based on the American game show ‘Let’s Make a Deal’ is a good illustration of how biases affect our decision making.
Assume that there are three doors.
- Behind one door is a fantastic prize: a car.
- Behind the other two doors are mediocre prizes: $1,000.
You initially choose Door 1. Before revealing what’s behind your chosen door, the presenter opens a different door, Door 2, to reveal the mediocre prize. The presenter then gives you the option to either keep what’s behind your initial chosen door or change your choice, knowing what’s behind Door 2. What should you do now? Should you stay with your initial choice, Door 1, or should you switch to Door 3?
The correct answer is that you have the best chances of winning the car if you change your choice. This is called the Monty Hall problem. Here’s why you should switch:
- When you made your initial decision, you didn’t know what the outcome would be (mediocre prize versus awesome prize).
- After the host reveals more information, you have a better idea about which prizes are behind which doors.
- Based on this information, you’re more likely to find the car if you change your chosen door, an improvement from odds of 1 in 3 for your initial choice, to 2 in 3 if you switch.
Despite the statistics being in favor of switching, most people are hesitant to abandon their first choice and don’t accept the offer to change it.
Other cognitive biases
The Monty Hall problem is an excellent example of how our intuitions and heuristics lead us to make poor decisions. However, there are lots of other cognitive biases and heuristics that also affect our decision making.
Kahneman, Slovic, Slovic, & Tversky (1982) list 13 biases that arise from the following three heuristics:
- Representativeness
We think that the likelihood of two things happening is higher when the two things resemble or are similar to each other.
- A cognitive bias that may result from this heuristic is that we ignore the base rate of events occurring when making decisions. For example, I am afraid of flying; however, it’s more likely that I might be in a car crash than in a plane crash. Despite this, I still hate flying but am indifferent to hopping into my car.
- Availability
We tend to overestimate how likely something is to happen based on how easily we can remember the same thing happening previously.
- For example, when a violent crime occurs in a neighborhood, neighbors in that neighborhood will give a bigger estimate of the frequency of these crimes, compared to the reported statistics. The reason for their overestimate is that the memory of the violent crime is easy to retrieve, which makes it seems like violent crime happens more frequently than it actually does.
- Adjustment and anchoring
Our decisions, and the changes to our decisions, are influenced by the first bit of information that we’re given.
- For example, assume that I offer to sell you a car and I ask for $250. You counter with $200. You might think that this is a good deal because you bought the car for less than the asking price; however, your counteroffer was heavily influenced by my asking price, and you’re not likely to deviate too much from it.
2 Popular Experiments
To further illustrate the effect of cognitive bias, below are two popular experiments.
1. Anchoring and adjustment
Tversky and Kahneman (1974) found that our estimates are heavily influenced by the first number given to us. For example, participants were asked to estimate the percentage of African countries in the United Nations.
Before giving their answer, each participant had to spin a ‘Wheel of Fortune,’ which would determine their initial starting percentage. The result of the ‘Wheel of Fortune’ was random and meaningless. Despite this, participants’ estimate of African UN member-countries didn’t differ much from whatever random ‘Wheel of Fortune’ amount they landed on, regardless of what that amount was.
2. The attractiveness halo effect
Male students were asked to rate essays written by female authors (Landy & Sigall, 1974). The quality of the essays varied: some were poorly written, and others were well written.
Additionally, some of the essays were accompanied by a photograph of the author (who was either attractive or unattractive), and others were not. Male college students rated the quality of the essay and the talent of the authors higher when:
- the essay was written by an attractive author, and
- this effect was evident only when the essay was of poor quality.
In this study, the male students demonstrated the halo effect, applying the perceived attractiveness of the female author to the quality of the paper.
4 Ways to Overcome Your Biases
Here is a list of four methods that you can use to overcome your own biases.
1. Reflect on past decisions
If you’ve been in a similar situation before, you can reflect on the outcomes of those previous decisions to learn how to overcome your biases.
An example of this is budgeting. We tend to underestimate how much money we need to budget for certain areas of our life. However, you can learn how much money to budget by tracking your expenditure for the last few months. Using this information from the past, you can better predict how much money you’ll need for different financial categories in the future.
2. Include external viewpoints
There is some evidence that we make better decisions and negotiations when we consult with other people who are objective, such as mediators and facilitators (Caputo, 2016).
Therefore, before making a decision, talk to other people to consider different viewpoints and have your own views challenged. Importantly, other people might spot your own cognitive biases.
3. Challenge your viewpoints
When making a decision, try to see the weaknesses in your thinking regardless of how small, unlikely, or inconsequential these weaknesses might seem. You can be more confident in your decision if it withstands serious, critical scrutiny.
4. Do not make decisions under pressure
A final way to protect yourself from relying on your cognitive biases is to avoid making any decisions under time pressure. Although it might not feel like it, there are very few instances when you need to make a decision immediately. Here are some tips for making a decision that can have substantial consequences:
- Take the necessary time to ruminate.
- List the pros and cons.
- Talk to friends or family members for advice (but remember that they may have their own biases).
- Try to poke holes in your reasoning.
What our readers think
There were so many things I had never considered before. It was very helpful to analyze and understand what was explained about how our brains work.
Good Content
It’s truly appreciated your efforts I am sure this is going to be of immense help in my lectures to diploma students
Dumb. I wish the author would have used the “4 Ways to Overcome Bias” prior to writing this irrelevant article. Then maybe the contradictions could have been avoided such as the codex containing both heuristics and biases or the gender bias and marital status. Leading off with gender bias, by the way, is a dead giveaway that this is just propaganda disguised as pseudo-intellectual tripe. The author painted the issue as “women make less, so = bias.” Allow me to use the group attribution bias and call this as another article from majority female psychology “profession.”
I agree that awareness of our biases is the first step to overcoming them. But I think it’s important to also understand that we all have biases, and that they’re not necessarily a bad thing. We need biases to make decisions, and without them we would be paralyzed. The key is to be aware of our biases and to try to overcome them when they lead us astray.
You may be conflating heuristics with bias. Heuristics are shortcuts to see pattern and simplify things based on our experience and intuition. Heuristics are needed to make decisions and solve problems. But heuristics are also prone to thinking errors. Biases are thinking errors.
Thank you for this feast of information that I will be savoring over and over for weeks.
Thank you very much for the detailed information and resources. I plan to utilize this as a link with certain highlighted components for my social psychology unit with my students.
VERY GOOD ARTICLE. MAY USE IT TO TRAIN MY STUDENTS RESILIENCE AND GRIT AND PERCEPTIVE CAPACITY IN COUNSELLING SESSIONS
REGARDS
PATRICK MITI
Thanks for the detailed blog. I’m going to provide this as a link on my critical thinking course that I teach at a university.